A novel deep learning neural network approach for predicting flash flood susceptibility

A novel deep learning neural network approach for predicting flash flood susceptibility: A case study at a high-frequency tropical storm area

This research proposes and evaluates a new approach for flash flood susceptibility mapping based on Deep Learning Neural Network (DLNN)) algorithm, with a case study at a high-frequency tropical storm area in the northwest mountainous region of Vietnam. Accordingly, a DLNN structure with 192 neurons in 3 hidden layers was proposed to construct an inference model that predicts different levels of susceptibility to flash flood.

The Rectified Linear Unit (ReLU) and the sigmoid were selected as the activate function and the transfer function, respectively, whereas the Adaptive moment estimation (Adam) was used to update and optimize the weights of the DLNN. A database for the study area, which includes factors of elevation, slope, curvature, aspect, stream density, NDVI, soil type, lithology, and rainfall, was established to train and validate the proposed model.

Feature selection was carried out for these factors using the Information gain ratio. The results show that the DLNN attains a good prediction accuracy with Classification Accuracy Rate = 92.05%, Positive Predictive Value = 94.55% and Negative Predictive Value = 89.55%. Compared to benchmarks, Multilayer Perceptron Neural Network and Support Vector Machine, the DLNN performs better; therefore, it could be concluded that the proposed hybridization of GIS and deep learning can be a promising tool to assist the government authorities and involving parties in flash flood mitigation and land-use planning.

 

Highlights

The performance of DLNN was assessed for flood susceptibility mapping.

DLNN was compared with the MLP-NN and SVM in terms of their performance.

DLNN with ADAM optimization is robust and outperformed other models.

DLNN is a new promising tool for predicting flash floods in prone areas.

 

DieuTien Bui, Nhat-DucHoang, FranciscoMartínez-Álvarez, Phuong-Thao ThiNgo,
Pham VietHoa, Tien DatPham, PijushSamuigh, RomulusCostache

 

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